Which will be the first year that China successfully launches more orbital rockets than the USA?
4
175Ṁ762026
40%
Not before 2040
5%
2026
5%
2027
20%
2028
17%
2029
6%
2030
5%
Resolves according to Gunter's Space Page
Note that the provided linked counts failed launches as well, I am more than open to using a better source. My plan atm is just to work out the discrepancy by hand if and when it looks close.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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