Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
9
190Ṁ2622026
67%
chance
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China here meaning either the state or a Chinese company.
Stage must land under its own power, without the use of parachutes.
Comment clarification: it must be the first stage of an orbital rocket, and the upper most stage of that rocket must achieve orbit on the same launch. It does not need to deliver a payload to orbit.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Successful 'hop' test from Chinese company iSpace
https://x.com/SpaceNews_Inc/status/1720085942135116152?s=20
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