Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
10
190Ṁ2922026
71%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
China here meaning either the state or a Chinese company.
Stage must land under its own power, without the use of parachutes.
Comment clarification: it must be the first stage of an orbital rocket, and the upper most stage of that rocket must achieve orbit on the same launch. It does not need to deliver a payload to orbit.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027?
10% chance
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
78% chance
Non-SpaceX propulsive first stage landing by 2025?
33% chance
Will anyone propulsively land an orbital-class rocket booster within a decade of SpaceX?
26% chance
Will China launch and operate a fully reusable spacecraft by 2030?
58% chance
Will China complete a successful manned mission to the lunar surface by the end of 2026?
8% chance
Non-SpaceX reusable first stage by 2025?
80% chance
Will China land someone on the moon on this year?
Will a rocket launched from Taiwan reach orbit before the end of 2030?
10% chance
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2027?
89% chance
Sort by:
Successful 'hop' test from Chinese company iSpace
https://x.com/SpaceNews_Inc/status/1720085942135116152?s=20
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027?
10% chance
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
78% chance
Non-SpaceX propulsive first stage landing by 2025?
33% chance
Will anyone propulsively land an orbital-class rocket booster within a decade of SpaceX?
26% chance
Will China launch and operate a fully reusable spacecraft by 2030?
58% chance
Will China complete a successful manned mission to the lunar surface by the end of 2026?
8% chance
Non-SpaceX reusable first stage by 2025?
80% chance
Will China land someone on the moon on this year?
Will a rocket launched from Taiwan reach orbit before the end of 2030?
10% chance
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2027?
89% chance