Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
9
118
Ṁ263Ṁ190
2026
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
China here meaning either the state or a Chinese company.
Stage must land under its own power, without the use of parachutes.
Comment clarification: it must be the first stage of an orbital rocket, and the upper most stage of that rocket must achieve orbit on the same launch. It does not need to deliver a payload to orbit.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Successful 'hop' test from Chinese company iSpace
https://x.com/SpaceNews_Inc/status/1720085942135116152?s=20
Related questions
Will CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
60% chance
Will China beat the USA to Mars?
25% chance
Will China launch and operate a fully reusable spacecraft by 2030?
57% chance
Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
40% chance
On which year will China first land a person on the Moon?
Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
25% chance
Will China land someone on the moon on this year?
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
76% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2027?
66% chance
When will China next land a rover on Mars?