Taiwan Presidential Election Result vs Armed Conflict with China in Following Term | Manifold

Taiwan Presidential Election Result vs Armed Conflict with China in Following Term

9

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resolved May 25

ResolvedN/A

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

38%

DPP Win / Armed Conflict

1.1%

KMT Win / Armed Conflict

60%

DPP Win / No Armed Conflict

1.0%

KMT Win / No Armed Conflict

Armed conflict = a substantial military engagement

I will not bet in order to make this judgement, but as a rule of thumb one isolated incident of violence would not be enough to resolve YES

Resolves NA if TPP win

China Taiwan potential conflict

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