Taiwan Presidential Election Result vs Armed Conflict with China in Following Term
9
338Ṁ1278
2027
38%
DPP Win / Armed Conflict
1.1%
KMT Win / Armed Conflict
60%
DPP Win / No Armed Conflict
1%
KMT Win / No Armed Conflict

Armed conflict = a substantial military engagement

I will not bet in order to make this judgement, but as a rule of thumb one isolated incident of violence would not be enough to resolve YES

Resolves NA if TPP win

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