
Taiwan Presidential Election Result vs Armed Conflict with China in Following Term
9
Ṁ337Ṁ1.3k2027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
38%
DPP Win / Armed Conflict
1.1%
KMT Win / Armed Conflict
60%
DPP Win / No Armed Conflict
1%
KMT Win / No Armed Conflict
Armed conflict = a substantial military engagement
I will not bet in order to make this judgement, but as a rule of thumb one isolated incident of violence would not be enough to resolve YES
Resolves NA if TPP win

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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