
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Who will win the 2028 Presidential Election?
5
240Ṁ1222028
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
49%
DPP
38%
KMT
8%
TPP
5%
I will add parties/independents if any look to present a genuine challenge and eventually register for the campaign. Entries will be changed to correct names of individuals in late 2027.
If two parties form an alliance and field a P/VP combination ticket this will resolve 50/50 if they win.
(Note that if a party chooses someone from a different party as their VP candidate this isn't by itself enough, there would have to be a pact agreed by party leaders)
This is part of a series of 'long range' markets for the Taiwan 2028 Presidential Election, hopefully focused on questions that might bubble away over the next four years.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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