Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Who will win the 2028 Presidential Election?
5
240Ṁ122
2028
49%
DPP
38%
KMT
8%
TPP
5%
Other

I will add parties/independents if any look to present a genuine challenge and eventually register for the campaign. Entries will be changed to correct names of individuals in late 2027.

If two parties form an alliance and field a P/VP combination ticket this will resolve 50/50 if they win.

(Note that if a party chooses someone from a different party as their VP candidate this isn't by itself enough, there would have to be a pact agreed by party leaders)

This is part of a series of 'long range' markets for the Taiwan 2028 Presidential Election, hopefully focused on questions that might bubble away over the next four years.

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