Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the TPP finish within 20% points of the winner of the 2028 Presidential Election?
1
16
Ṁ22Ṁ70
2028
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is an attempt to provide a precise and easily resolvable version of: Will the TPP be relevant in 2028?
This is part of a series of 'long range' markets for the Taiwan 2028 Presidential Election, hopefully focused on questions that might bubble away over the next four years.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?
39% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will Lai Ching-te be re-elected?
59% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will Ko Wen-je run for president in 2028?
74% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the KMT abandon the 1992 Consensus?
42% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will Hsiao Bi-khim try to primary Lai Ching-te in 2027?
26% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the DPP run on a platform to maintain the status quo in Cross-Strait Relations?
75% chance
Will Taiwan be Taiwan in 2025?
84% chance