MANIFOLD
Artemis First Landing Crew Sliders
5
Ṁ1kṀ372
2029
57%
First to step on the lunar surface a woman?
50%
First to step on the lunar surface a person of colour?
46%
Women Percentage
43%
People of Colour Percentage
39%
Rookie Percentage
31%
First to step on the lunar surface a rookie?
29%
Non-American Percentage
19%
First to step on the lunar surface a non-American?

The percentage questions will resolve to 0, 25, 50, 75, 100 depending on how many women etc are on the four person crew.

First to step on the lunar surface will resolve YES/NO

I will not bet and will adjudicate whether someone is a person of colour in the event of controversy, applying a common sense approach.

  • Update 2026-02-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the first landing crew (not specifically Artemis 3 crew). If the first Artemis landing occurs on a mission other than Artemis 3, that crew will be used for resolution.

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If the number of crew members is 0, do these resolve N/A?

@FlorisvanDoorn I have changed the title to First Landing Crew from Artemis 3 Crew. I think this is within the spirit of the question.

@JoshuaWilkes Seems reasonable

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