Resolution Criteria

Artemis IV is a planned mission of the NASA-led Artemis program that will send an Orion spacecraft with four astronauts to the Lunar Gateway space station. The market resolves based on the calendar year in which Artemis IV actually launches:

• 2029, 2030, 2031, 2032, 2033, 2034: Resolves YES if launch occurs in that specific year

• Not before 2035/Announced Cancelled: Resolves YES if launch has not happened before 2035, or if the mission is officially cancelled

Resolution will be determined by official NASA announcements and launch records available at NASA's Artemis mission page.

Any crewed lunar mission flown by NASA called Artemis4 or Artemis IV will count

Question would NA if Artemis 4 flies before 2029

Considerations

Boeing informed employees in February 2025 that they may be laid off when its SLS contract expires, and the Trump Administration's fiscal year 2026 budget proposal involved cutting funding and proposed canceling the SLS and Orion spacecraft after Artemis III due to the SLS's cost of $4 billion per launch. However, in July 2025, President Donald Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law, which included provisions that allocated funding for continued development and operation of the SLS and Orion spacecraft beyond Artemis III. The program's future remains subject to political and budgetary decisions.

This description was generated by AI.