Thus far, I've been sucked down two distinct rabbit holes due to markets.

The first was @BTE's market (which still hasn't resolved) about whether Joe Biden would get the Moderna Omicron booster in 2022. And he got an Omicron booster on October 25th, but as far as I can tell the internet has no idea which one he got! As a result I tried to look at high-resolution images of the label and also emailed the President. Neither avenues proved succesful.

The second was @Conflux's market about his questions with regard to Biden's endorsement of Jimmy Carter in the 1976 Democratic Presidential Primary. Long story short, there was an article from NPR that claimed he was the first elected-official outside of Georgia who endorsed Carter, and this was FALSE! NPR issued a retraction soon after being alerted. From this market, I've read so many old newspaper articles on Google Books and feel like I've learnt a bunch about this speicfic election's endorsements of Carter.

These have both been really fun experiences in researching a bunch into a hyper-specific niche topic, so I'm tempting fate by making this market! I eagerly await further rabbit holes!

Resolution Criteria:

Resolves YES if during 2023, a specific Manifold Market fairly directly causes me to do at least one hour of online research into a question or series of questions raised (either implicitly or explicitly) by the market (e.g. which vaccine did Biden get or the endorsement questions). Otherwise esolves NO at the end of 2023.

Due to obvious conflicts of interest, I will not trade in this market.