Congressional leaders have agreed to pass yet another laddered CR. The current plan is to extend government funding until March 1st for some agencies, and March 8th for others.

Will the US government shut down before 3/15/24?

Full shutdown definition, curtesy Metaculus:

This question resolves as Yes if credible sources report that at least some portions of the US federal government have ceased some operations or undergone "shutdown" as the result of a funding gap or missed funding deadline. For the purposes of this question a qualifying shutdown must result in a shutdown furlough of some federal employees (for example, the brief February 9, 2018 shutdown would not count).

If legislation is passed and signed into law which guarantees the US Government will be funded past March 15th, the market will resolve No early.

For more markets about the potential shutdown, see the Dashboard.