If the government is shut down for at least 1 minute on the listed date, Washington DC time, resolves yes for that date.
A shut down end will be determined by the date on which the funding package required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns included
Update 2026-02-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on whether a shutdown notice is visible on the OPM (Office of Personnel Management) site for at least part of a day. If a notice is visible on the OPM site for any portion of a given date, that date will resolve YES. Otherwise it will resolve NO.
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@Jack1 from my understanding of the bill, DHS is only funded through 2/13. Will you be leaving the market open for these other dates? Does a DHS funding lapse count as “shutdown” for this market?
@Mochi Not by. If notice is visible on that site for at least part of a day it will resolve yes. Otherwise no