Who will be Time Person of the Year 2023?
385
16kṀ440k
resolved Dec 6
100%99.7%
Taylor Swift
0.1%
Sam Altman
0.0%
Xi Jinping
0.0%
Elon Musk
0.0%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
0.0%
Joe Biden
0.0%
Vladimir Putin
0.0%
Donald Trump
0.0%
John Roberts
0.1%
[Consolidated Artificial Intelligence Answer]
0.0%
[Consolidated Unshared Abstract/Group Answer - "Trump Prosecutors"/"Hollywood Strikers"/Barbie]
0.0%
[Invalid Answer - Resolves No]
0.0%
Matt Gaetz
0.0%
Sean Fain
0.0%
Sam Bankman-Fried
0.0%
Benjamin Nethanyahu
0.0%
Dario Amodei
0.0%
Daniela Amodei
0.0%
Jerome Powell
0.0%
Mike Johnson

Reminder: Any group/abstract answer is consolidated under [Consolidated Unshared Abstract/Group Answer] to avoid overlap between answers.

This is a variant of Who will be Time Person of the Year 2023? [Free Response - Fixed Payout - Unique Trader Bonuses For Your Answers!]

Differences from the original:

1) This question will remain open until after the announcement. "Other" will therefore never payout, though it will split into future submitted answers that may payout.

2) All possible variations of "Artificial Intelligence" are grouped together into [Consolidated Artificial Intelligence Answer]. If the POTY is any variation of AI, this question will payout. If the title is shared with a human, as in "Sam Altman and ChatGPT", then this answer will payout 50%. No other submitted AI answers will payout.

3) All other possible non-human/abstract answers like "You" or "The Spirit of Ukraine" or "The Guardians" or "The Silence Breakers" are grouped together into [Consolidated Unshared Abstract/Group Answer].

This consolidated answer only pays out if no individual human is named as person of the year. This means in 2022 this question would have resolved 100% to Zelenskyy, even though he shared it with an abstract concept. However, in 2017 and 2018 this answer would have resolved 100% to this consolidated answer, as no individual was elevated enough from the groups "The Silence Breakers" and "The Guardians" to be given the title like Zelenskyy was.

No other submitted answers that are not individual humans will payout under any circumstance.

As in the original market, if the Time Person of the Year is multiple individual humans I will resolve equally to all non-duplicate correct submitted options. However, you are not allowed to submit multiple people in a single answer.

In 2020 I would have resolved 50% to Joe Biden and 50% to Kamala Harris. I would not resolve to "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris" in any scenario.

These rules will be considered "in draft" for a few days, as I'm open to more suggestions on improving the format.

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