Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
Plus
325
αΉ160kJan 2
1D
1W
1M
ALL
39%
Eva Marie Saint
36%
Jimmy Carter (99)
32%
Noam Chomsky (95)
26%
Dick Van Dyke (98)
24%
Mel Brooks (97)
23%
Sonny Rollins
23%
David Attenborough (97)
21%
Mahmoud Abbas
20%
Jean-Marie Le Pen
19%
Clint Eastwood
17%
Chuck Grassley
17%
Mick Jagger
17%
Christopher Lloyd
16%
Bruce Willis
16%
Donald Knuth
15%
Buzz Aldrin
15%
Michael Caine
15%
Sylvester Stallone
14%
George R.R. Martin
14%
Paul McCartney
Feel free to submit the names of any living public figures you think people would be interested in knowing the odds of survival for. Any duplicates or non-public-figures will be N/A-ed. If someone on this list has died, I will resolve their name to YES. At the end of 2024, all remaining names will resolve to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Joshua Ismail Haniyeh and Mohammed Deif are confirmed dead at this point though multiple outlets
Noam Chomsky (95)
Please consider adding Willie Nelson after the next cull. He has even self-memed about it βThe Internet said I had passed awayβ
@ZaneMiller Manifold changed the rules about how many options could be in a market and people had added a bunch of options taking up space that I thought made the market worse
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