Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
Basic
275
124k
2025
73%
Maria Branyas (117)
·
9mo
71%
Jimmy Carter (99)
·
9mo
69%
Mohammed Deif (Israeli military's 'most wanted' man)
·
9mo
64%
Noam Chomsky (95)
·
9mo
61%
David Attenborough (97)
·
9mo
49%
Ramzan Kadyrov (47)
·
9mo
34%
Sonny Rollins
·
7mo
32%
Dick Van Dyke (98)
·
9mo
30%
Michael Caine
·
7mo
29%
James Earl Jones (93)
·
6mo
29%
Jean-Marie Le Pen
·
9mo
28%
Mel Brooks (97)
·
9mo
27%
Eva Marie Saint
·
7mo
26%
Buzz Aldrin
·
7mo
26%
Clint Eastwood
·
9mo
25%
Ismail Haniyeh
·
9mo
25%
Chuck Grassley
·
7mo
24%
Rupert Murdoch
·
7mo
22%
Christopher Lloyd
·
7mo
21%
TSwift's cat (Benjamin Button) (from the 2023 POTY cover)
·
7mo

Feel free to submit the names of any living public figures you think people would be interested in knowing the odds of survival for. Any duplicates or non-public-figures will be N/A-ed. If someone on this list has died, I will resolve their name to YES. At the end of 2024, all remaining names will resolve to NO.

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Oh wow first time I've seen Wikipedia jump the gun on a "was"

😐🔫

sold Ṁ59 Noam Chomsky (95) NO

We've been Noam-ed

bought Ṁ500 Jimmy Carter (99) YES

I mean honestly, he's 95 and had a massive stroke. It's not looking good for making it through 2024.

Noam Chomsky (95)
bought Ṁ2,881 Noam Chomsky (95) YES

Misresolve? Seems to have been changed back

Ugh

An article said he died and then changed its title and removed mentions of his death

I literally waited for the Wikipedia update because other sources are full of shit lol rip2me

Jimmy Carter is a tank wrapped in a decent man's clothes. He just reached 99 and 2/3 yrs old! 17 days away from his 100 day countdown to 100.

Jimmy gang stays winning

Please consider adding Willie Nelson after the next cull. He has even self-memed about it “The Internet said I had passed away”

https://youtu.be/J34esa_aJxc?feature=shared

I'm not sure why some of these entries were N/A-ed - Steven Spielberg, for example.

@ZaneMiller Manifold changed the rules about how many options could be in a market and people had added a bunch of options taking up space that I thought made the market worse

bought Ṁ1,000 Answer #3786947a2f3f YES

to the moon buddy 🫡

@Joshua ☝️

@Joshua she was 126! time to head off to that big blockchain in the sky 🚀

bought Ṁ10 Answer #3bf7203e3853 YES

RIP :'(

why'd it n/a? and rip

@jacksonpolack I had to save room after the answer cap changed, so I N/Aed a bunch but said I'd re-resolve. Have now done so.

rip that's sad

@NicoDelon scratch that - spoke too soon. you were the newsbreak (wikipedia just updated this moment 🙃 )