Inspired by:

Sam Altman has been ousted from OpenAI, and many believe it was because of AI Safety.

One thing that could happen next is that Sam basically becomes the poster boy of the e/acc movement and either starts his own e/acc company or joint another AI team and pushes it in an e/acc direction.

He might start posting on twitter about "doomers", heavily criticize the safety community for being "anti-open-source", etc. AI Safety enthusiasts might start villainizing him in turn, saying that he's going to bring about the end of the world through irresponsible AGI creation.

At market close on March 1st 2024, I will try to evaluate if this has happened since market creation. This market will resolve to the nearest 10th percentile according to my subjective judgement, with 100% being "full supervillain" and 0% being "no change, or became more pro-safety".

I will not trade on this market.