Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030?
8
70
150
2030
22%
chance

Resolves YES if Sam Altman is criminally charged with a felony crime in the US before 2030. Otherwise NO.

See also: https://manifold.markets/post/felony-charges-in-crypto

Details:

  • This question will use the earliest time the charges are officially announced or reported by reliable media publications.

  • Timezone is Eastern time

  • Grand jury indictment counts. Charges filed as part of a plea bargain count. Other ways charges are brought count too.

  • Both state and federal charges count for this question.

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