Exactly how many separate questions about AI will be asked during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
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42
Ṁ7839
resolved Nov 15
100%96%
0
1.6%
1
0.8%
2
0.3%
3
0.3%
4
0.2%
5
0.2%
6
0.1%
7
0.3%
8 or more
0.6%
There will be no 2024 presidential debates in the United States

This is a derivative of /MatthewBarnett/will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the, an excellent question which has attracted much interest lately. It is a companion market to /Joshua/what-is-the-max-number-of-separate

I will use the same criteria as @MatthewBarnett in determining what counts as a question about AI. Currently, the main question broadly defines this as:

"If during at least one of the main (non-VP) 2024 general presidential election debates in the United States, the moderator asks at least two separate questions directly related to artificial intelligence, such as the potential for job losses due to AI automation, or existential risk from AI."


The main question also has extensive definitions on what counts as a separate question, what counts as AI, and so on. I will use the same criteria.

Unlike the original question, this question does not resolve N/A in any scenario. If there are no presidential debates, it will resolve to "There will be no 2024 presidential debates in the United States".

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Another market which is just about max questions within one debate, for easier arbitrage with the main market:

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