In 2028, will AI be a top 3 political issue for voters? | Manifold

In 2028, will AI be a top 3 political issue for voters?

21

Ṁ1kṀ3.3k

2028

45%

chance

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6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This is similar to https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-ai-be-at-least-as-big, but I wanted to control for the possibility that abortion might not be a big political issue.

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This should be lower (than Scott's market) both due to abortion possibly being a low-priority issue and also due to excluding other political criteria like money spent trying to influence regulation.

@DavidHiggs And currently it is.

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