@Joshua be the funniest thing if the AI bubble burst one week after it being given Person Of

@JussiVilleHeiskanen if anything that would solidify the choice

Some version of "Gen Z" seems quite possible, but specifically "Gen Z" seems unlikely

@Rhys I think any variation counts

payouts doubled if it's @Genzy

@Joshua Would something like "Nepal's Gen Z" count here?

@Kraalnaxx That seems fair

I’m long on Netanyahu, I think 1.4% is too low. The country he runs has been determined to be committing genocide by the UN, most of the UN walks out on his speech, etc. There are countless other historical events that I could list here, not saying he’s the most likely but 1.4% is too low probability.

Maybe "the drone"

I hate predicting Leo, but knowing Time Magazine.

Some total nut, guaranteed. Although they did manage to choose sensibly once, Lex Friedman.

https://time.com/7322834/gen-z-protests-government-corruption/

What to Know About the 'Gen Z' Protests Around the World

Within the past month, the protests have toppled one country’s government and contributed to the dissolution of another.

@ItsMe I could see "Gen Z" being the winner

@Joshua could we get Gen Z as an option? It doesn't overlap with any of the other options.

@Joshua thanks. I'm assuming that it's any variation of "Gen Z", right? So something like "Generation Z Protestors" would also count

Sorry, me being silly. What if Putin buys the farm as a result of the Ukraine war, and the winner is Victims of War. Do Putin buyers get paid off?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen no

Would "The AI CEOs" be the most chaotic winner for this markets resolution?

@Yakushi12345 For extra crazy points, it could be something like "AI CEOs and Politicians", where like Elon Musk counts for both, and like half of the other people count for one or the other

Can you imagine the madness on here if "Prediction Markets" are declared the TIME POTY?

@bens "the forecaster" "the predictor" "the oracle"

I've probably put more thought into this than the magazine editors will

@ItsMe “Pope Leo and the Age of AI” would go so hard tbh

@Joshua remind me how this resolves in cases where there's a shared POTY between one person/category on this list and one person/category that is not listed among the options?

Like, let's say it's "Elon Musk and Caitlin Clark".

100% to Elon Musk? 50% to Elon and 50% to Other?

What about "Elon Musk and the Spirit of Capitalism"?

@bens It's the last sentence of the description: "If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%."

Edit: Nvm, I guess that doesn't quite answer your question.

"AI and Tech CEOs" would go crazy

@Bayesian ya @Joshua how would that resolve hahaha… I’m having flashbacks to my nightmares from 2 years ago

@bens I believe the hypothetical ruling two years sgo is that if two specific named individuals win and only one is listed in the market, then it resolves 50% to them and 50% to Other. If it's a named individual and an unlisted group or concept, it resolves 100% to the named individual.