This question resolves to the TIME 2025 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
If you would like to add a new candidate or consolidated answer to the market, submit them in a comment below. If a comment gets enough support, I'll open the market to submissions so that you can add it and you'll get the unique trader bonuses.
Note that all consolidated answers must be mutually exclusive, so no more specific or general versions of existing options. The goal is to cleanly divide the probabilistic landscape into non-overlapping categories.
If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.
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@ItsMe I think I figured out why it's going up. You can still claim the 200 mana if you're able to come up with the answer (or give a better answer than the one I have in mind).
@TiredCliche "You don't actually understand, in two years the chips will understand how to play chess, they'll drive your car and code fairy chess websites for you!!"
Yeah whatever I've heard all that before
@TiredCliche "oh in 2027 the ai will learn how to eat pussy!" Great, then maybe your mom will stop calling me every Tuesday night. Another 2000 against Jensen.
@Yakushi12345 Personally I think very many of these are undervalued. I have YES holdings on ten, I think