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MANIFOLD
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
322
Ṁ21kṀ260k
Dec 31
23%
Other
22%
Zohran Mamdani
11%
James Talarico
9%
Abdul El Sayed
8%
Mark Carney
6%
Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)
4%
Benjamin Netanyahu
3%
Donald Trump and/or JD Vance
2%
Jon Ossoff
2%
Jensen Huang
1.9%
AOC
1.7%
Xi Jinping
1.3%
Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)
1.1%
Dario Amodei
1%
Nathan Fielder

This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.

If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.

In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

Please add Josh Turek, Annie Andrews, Scott Colom, Adam hamilton

sold Ṁ1 YES

How would this resolve if it was ‘the democrats’ 🤔

@Jack1 I shudder to think

@Jack1 I believe precedent would be an equal split of everyone on the cover, with some % to Other for those on the cover but not individual options

@Joshua

bought Ṁ5 YES

sold Ṁ35 YES

Abdul el sayed

Hey @Joshua can we get... uhh... Nathan Fielder? (Not joking)

My man Zohran is banning horse carriages in Central Park. He should win the Nobel prize for it.

@AmmonLam FR FR

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 2% order

Can we get some more VOLUME on this? BIG BETS please.

Add Mark Carney? @Joshua

sold Ṁ23 YES

@2b3o4o Huh it won't let me

@Joshua I got that a few times trying to trade on this market today as well. This may not be related, or it may

@Joshua typical MAGA Manifold backend censoring the Canadian GOAT PM smh

bought Ṁ4 YES

@Joshua try again. 50 percent of my trades go through

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Just tried and it appeared but then vanished. I dont want to spam it lest I add a multitude of Carni

@Joshua typical MAGA Manifold user only wanting to add a single Carnus

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Joshua Cold you try again, please?

@Joshua to echo, we remain Carney-free

bought Ṁ50 NO

@JussiVilleHeiskanen the market itself does still seem to have weird resistance to actions.

Alysa Liu @Joshua

@ZandaZhu I'll vote for Alysa Liu for anything

The Artemis II crew @Joshua

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 13% order

Any chance to add Hegseth @Joshua?

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