OpenAI annualized revenue run rate at end of 2026?
4
1kṀ11392026
87%
>=$25B
70%
>=$50B
45%
>=$100B
37%
>=$150B
18%
>=$200B
Will OpenAI achieve the following annualized run rates (ARR) at any point on or before December 31, 2026? Based on company statements or credible reporting from outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, The Information, etc.
No grace period: report must occur by December 31
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Just back of the envelope; OpenAI revenue is increasing at a rate of ~4x this year. So, probably will end the year with ~$20b in annualized revenue. Next year, the growth should slow somewhat or otherwise increase (for slowing - more competition, for increase - more use of AI, more products) and they should therefore at least close above $50bn but probably below $100bn - but not that far short - at least like $70bn or $80bn, maybe more.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI be worth $600B by mid-2026?
60% chance
Will OpenAI Reach $100B in total profit by the end of 2027?
28% chance
Will OpenAI have revenues of at least $5 billion (ARR) by the end of year 2025?
99% chance
Will OpenAI have $1 billion in revenue in 2025?
99% chance
Will OpenAI make a profit in 2024?
3% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
95% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2030?
96% chance
Will OpenAI make a profit in 2025?
10% chance
What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025?
Will OpenAI IPO before the end of 2025?
3% chance