Will the 2028 Democratic or Republican nominee be a non-politician?
2
100Ṁ1452028
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if either the Democratic or Republican nominee (as determined by the respective party conventions) is a non-politician.
For the purpose of this market, a politician is defined as a current or former President, VP, Senator, House Rep, Governor, or other elected official (e.g. elected state Attorney General, Mayor, etc)
Appointed positions (including Cabinet members who have not served in a separate elected role) do not count as politicians for the purpose of this market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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