
Resolves N/A if Joe Biden is not reelected in 2024. If he is, this will resolve YES if LK-99 is a real ambient pressure room temperature superconductor AND Eliezer Yudkowsky writes a tweet (or xeet or whatever) containing the word "rationalussy" in 2023, or if the superconductor is not real and Yudkowsky does not write such a tweet. Otherwise, it resolves NO.
See:
/LarsDoucet/will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres
People are also trading
since LK-99 is basically impossible and Biden doesn't quite matter, this is roughly NOT (rationalussy) at this point
@ButtocksCocktoasten I guess I will bet no because the market says LK99 is probavly not real, and so it will not have the same truth value as the OG rationalussy market!
Yud has years of prediction market usage and AI ex-risk advocacy ahead of him. He cannot recklessly tweet rationalussy without jeopardizing his considerable gravitas. Thus, this market is simply a superconductor market.
@aashiq https://manifold.markets/JosephNoonan/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-tweet-the-wo#jDC0hae0Vs2bWpXCXUM2
Sorry to crash your world. Rationalussy always prevails
LMAO
Ugh
if the superconductor is not real and Yudkowsky does not write such a tweet
Is this meant to say "or"? I'm very confused.