Will Destiny discuss AI Safety before 2026?
11
32
1k
2025
85%
chance

Resolves yes if Destiny debates anyone on the moratorium, orthogonality, e/acc, P(doom) or other stuff aimed at making future AI go well. Also resolves yes if he interviews anyone from or opposing the field about the field.

Past appearances don't count.

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This should be 99%

@KwameOsei How so? Based on his discussion with Eliezer, he doesn't seem to take the issue that seriously, and ~1.5 years is not that much time. Moreover, it's probably safe to assume that the rest of this year is a write-off, given that it'll be pretty focused on Israel-Palestine and then the election later in the year.

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