MANIFOLD
Will Destiny discuss AI Safety before 2026?
25
Ṁ1kṀ2.6k
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
NO

Resolves yes if Destiny debates anyone on the moratorium, orthogonality, e/acc, P(doom) or other stuff aimed at making future AI go well. Also resolves yes if he interviews anyone from or opposing the field about the field.

Past appearances don't count.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ801
2Ṁ333
3Ṁ280
4Ṁ40
5Ṁ26
Sort by:

This should be 99%

@KwameOsei How so? Based on his discussion with Eliezer, he doesn't seem to take the issue that seriously, and ~1.5 years is not that much time. Moreover, it's probably safe to assume that the rest of this year is a write-off, given that it'll be pretty focused on Israel-Palestine and then the election later in the year.

opened a Ṁ400 NO at 75% order

@Benbones99 Limit order up for you. I think he'll be too busy being a degenerate for the rest of this year!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy