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@SemioticRivalry Please resolve

I have a feeling this happened but it wasn't made public

if this market concerned openai and was created before the altman firing saga, would you have resolved it YES due to the altman drama?

Probably meaningless posturing ahead of the Summit in France, but fwiw: https://techcrunch.com/2025/02/03/meta-says-it-may-stop-development-of-ai-systems-it-deems-too-risky/

What if it's not bad words or notkilleveryoneism but something intermediate like chemical weapons?

Base rate is low, as far as I remember none ever happened at Microsoft, Amazon, Apple or Google (nor at Google Brain, Google Deepmind). OpenAI seems to attract this to a large degree, for some reason, but it's a newer company.

@SemioticRivalry Does the drama need to be internal? Like alternatively it could be that some external entity tell meta folks to do AI safety a certain way and they object publicly in a dramaful way

@Bayesian preferably internal, or if external it would have to be a significant news story, like would my parents have heard about it