Is there any point in having manifold-bucks post-superintelligence?
38
Never closes
yes, at least as much as now
less so
no, no point
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Also consider always betting against the arrival of ASI in markets about it, regardless of your true beliefs.
This seems fairly bad for people who aren't in on the metagame and take market predictions at face value. I don't see a way around this, besides mitigating it with disclaimers and discouraging doomsday markets (or other markets that have distorted betting incentives).
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