Will there be geopolitical instability over fears of other countries reaching superintelligence? (ACX, AI 2027 #2)

Will Manifold stop using AI to make my questions worse by the end of 2025?

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

Will six months or fewer elapse between when Manifold declares the achievement of AGI and superintelligence?

Will Bostrom's "Superintelligence" exceed its current popularity peak before 2028?

Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2100?

Will AI wipe out Manifold by 2030?

If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?

Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?

There will be only one superintelligence for a sufficiently long period that it will become a singleton