Context: https://www.wsj.com/opinion/this-is-no-way-to-run-a-trade-war-trump-tariffs-china-mexico-canada-2d66c764
Resolves according to the final decision, at the end of the appeals process.
Update 2025-04-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Unconstitutional Counts as Unlawful:
A ruling that the tariffs are unconstitutional will be interpreted as the tariffs being ruled unlawful.
Update 2025-04-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Update:
Partial Strike Down: If the court strikes down any of Trump’s tariffs, the market will resolve as Yes.
Interpretation: A ruling that deems even one tariff unconstitutional (or otherwise unlawful) meets the resolution criteria.
Update 2025-04-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Resolution Clarification:
Before the First Judgment: If the tariffs are mooted before the first judgment, the market resolves as NO.
After a Lower Court Judgment: If a lower court judgment occurs and the tariffs are later mooted before the appeal, the lower court judgment stands and is used for resolution.
1,000