This market resolves based on (1) the Supreme Court’s ruling on the pending tariff case and (2) the direction of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the relevant trading day.
Determining the ruling outcome
If the Court invalidates or strikes down the tariff authority → unconstitutional
If the Court upholds the tariff authority → constitutional
If the ruling is mixed, unclear, or fundamentally ambiguous → resolves to Other
Determining the SPX market direction
If ruling is released during market hours, compare that day's close to the previous day's close
If ruling is released during after hours, compare the next day's close to the previous day's close
If ruling is released on a weekend or U.S. market holiday, compare Monday's close vs Friday's close (or next trading day vs last trading day)
Zero-move rule
If the S&P500 closes exactly unchanged, market resolves to "other"