Part of a series of time-bounded binary questions on who will die/retire from SCOTUS, because many-outcome perimutuels are bad for early predictors. It ends at the end of 2024, because any later would give Biden no chance of replacing them during his first term.

Alito: https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-samuel-alito-leave-the-supreme

Thomas: https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-clarence-thomas-leave-the-supr

Roberts: https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-john-roberts-retiredieleave-th