Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
Plus
44
Ṁ5043Jan 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2024 ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This is a copy of this Polymarket and will most likely resolve the same way; however if that market is obviously misresolved, this one will still resolve correctly according to my best judgment and factoring in comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
33% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
43% chance
when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2025?
2% chance
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
71% chance
Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before 2025 end" market go below 10% before 2024 ends?
33% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
32% chance
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
33% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
29% chance
Will a high-volume prediction market expect OpenAI to create AGI before 2030?
76% chance