Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024?
58
Ṁ1kṀ14kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2024 ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This is a copy of this Polymarket and will most likely resolve the same way; however if that market is obviously misresolved, this one will still resolve correctly according to my best judgment and factoring in comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ129 | |
| 2 | Ṁ61 | |
| 3 | Ṁ47 | |
| 4 | Ṁ36 | |
| 5 | Ṁ35 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2028?
28% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
40% chance
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
4% chance
when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?
At the start of 2030 will I believe that OpenAI had AGI in 2024?
10% chance
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
Will OpenAI abandon the goal of building AGI before 2030?
13% chance
Will OpenAI announce AGI before 2028 conditional on it centrally being an LLM?
38% chance
Will OpenAI release a fully autonomous AI agent product before July 2027?
92% chance
Will AI be officially recognized as ‘AGI’ (Artificial General Intelligence) before the end of 2027?
12% chance