Will a member of US congress physically attack another member of congress before 2026?
7
36
แน€190
2026
50%
chance

This will resolve YES based on media reports of a member of the United States Congress physically hitting (e.g. smacking, punching, shoving) another member of the US Congress with their body or any other object. Former members of congress or aides would not count. An attempt to hit another member that is thwarted before physical contact is made would also not count.

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Would the incident where Kevin McCarthy allegedly elbowed Tim Burchett resolve as a yes?

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tim-burchett-kevin-mccarthy-elbow-in-kidneys/

@SimonWentzell Yes. The reporter Claudia Grisales said that Tim Burchett "stumbled forward," i.e. Kevin McCarthy made contact. It's unclear if it was an accident, but I'm going to defer to the victim's interpretation.