Will another member of the U.S Congress be expelled before 2030?
5
21
Ṁ52Ṁ150
2030
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As stated in the question. If you think there’s ambiguity let me know. One edge case is George Santos being re-elected and re-expelled, but odds are so small I’m not going to entertain it.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?
22% chance
Will any US state secede before 2030?
15% chance
Which people will be elected U.S. president before 2033?
Will the Speaker of the House be ousted again before the next Congress begins?
24% chance
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
39% chance
Will a Republican congressperson be identified as a white nationalist by 2030?
70% chance
Will any Speaker of the House other than McCarthy be removed by the end of 2040?
76% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2025?
82% chance
Will a US president be removed from office early for any reason through 2036?
42% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2024?
87% chance