The Ukrainian war will be done by June 2022.
43
13
แน€107
resolved May 24
Resolved
NO
The question is resolved YES if either: 1. Ukraine reaches a peace agreement or 2. Russia withdraws because it is losing the battle (either on the front line or because of sanctions). 3. Fighting stops for any another reason (catchall in case the other two points don't suffice). Feb 25, 9:20pm: Following orrukje's comments. - If it seems like a long-term occupation ala Crimea, then I will deem this resolved YES. However, if there is a widespread insurgency, then it will be resolved NO. Close date updated to 2022-05-04 8:45 am May 4, 8:45am: Market closed! Now let's wait and see if there are any sudden changes. Seems unlikely! :(
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bought แน€20 of YES
This is the question I want to know the answer to.
bought แน€50 of NO
It would probably help to clarify if/how an occupation + insurgency scenario would resolve this market

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