Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut on June 1st 2023?
37
710Ṁ38k
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if Ukraine is in control of the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine, on June 1, 2023 (12:00 GMT), according to maps provided by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW). For this Market we will use the search "Bakhmut, Donetsk, UKR" and the central dot located therein.

If this area is not shaded red on the ISW maps, the market will resolve YES. If this area shaded red the market resolves NO.

See https://manifold.markets/post/isw-ukraine-war-maps for context on how ISW maps are made, what they mean, and why ISW is a commonly considered a reliable map source.

Resolution criteria based on https://manifold.markets/jack/will-russia-control-bakhmut-by-apri (which was base on https://insightprediction.com/m/169724/will-russia-take-bakhmut-by-april-20th-2023)

Ukrainian flag rolling over a field filled with bombed out houses
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