Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029? | Manifold

Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029?

28

Ṁ1kṀ4k

2029

24%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves as YES if Ukraine controls Mariupol on January 1st 2029

Market context

Ukraine-Russia war

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https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/1u1x2ih/azov_unmanned_systems_forces_sbu_attack_mariupol/

ukraine is doing deep strikes along the Mariupol–Taganrog and Mariupol–Volnovakha highways with their new drones

https://wildhornets.com/en/

bought Ṁ30 YES

Wild Hornets claims some of these are being operated from abroad

https://x.com/wilendhornets/status/2045050618713129471

if ukraine were to cut off the western part of russia's occupation force it would go straight for the azov sea

People are also trading

Will Ukraine take back control of Mariupol while Putin is in power?

Will Ukraine regain control of the whole of Kherson region by 2028?

Will Ukraine control Slavyansk at the end of October 2027?

Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2030?

Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?

Related questions

Will Ukraine take back control of Mariupol while Putin is in power?

Will Ukraine regain control of the whole of Kherson region by 2028?

Will Ukraine control Slavyansk at the end of October 2027?

Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2030?

Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?