Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029? | Manifold

Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029?

20

1kṀ1596

2029

38%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves as YES if Ukraine controls Mariupol on January 1st 2029

Market context

Ukraine-Russia war

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