US-Russia standoff escalate ? Diplomatic solution possible?

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resolved Oct 13

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This should resolve as N/A, but when I tried to resolve it, I got "APIError: Negative payouts too large for resolution. Contact admin."

predictedYES

@evergreenemily Can confirm, I get the same result.

@evergreenemily Issue resolved (and so was the market.)

Those are different questions…

Do we know the correct resolution for this market?

It's not clear what "YES" or "NO" would resolve to here @JohnB -- could you clarify?

Those do seem like the two most likely options...

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Will the Russia-Ukraine war conclude in a negotiated settlement?

80% chance

Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2025?

34% chance

If there is a second Peace Summit, will the Russia-Ukraine War end within 3 months afterward?

46% chance

Will Russia be able to escalate the conflict to bloodshed in the balkans region before the end of 2024?

3% chance

Will the Russia Ukraine war end up in a stalemate without a formal peace treaty, like Korea?

35% chance

Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?

64% chance

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2040?

23% chance

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2030?

14% chance

Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2050?

29% chance

Will Russia confront USA by the end of 2029?

20% chance

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