
Will the Russia Ukraine war end up in a stalemate without a formal peace treaty, like Korea?
60
130Ṁ41112033
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will be extended as needed, if the war is still hot.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will the Russia-Ukraine war conclude in a negotiated settlement?
80% chance
If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?
43% chance
Will the Ukraine conflict end up in a demilitarized zone (DMZ) [like Korea] by end of 2025?
30% chance
How will the war in Ukraine end?
When will the Ukraine war end?
POLL
Sort by:
@benjaminIkuta could use Wikipedia as a source to comfirm that:
a) a ceasefire is in place between both nations, and
b) the ceasefire has largely been observed by both sides for a period longer than a year*.
You could also add a caveat in that there should not be any obvious impending military operations from both sides as generally reported.
*Year period is just an arbitrary value, not sure if that's acceptable or not...
@benjaminIkuta @vitamind sounds like the title could be shortened to "Will the Russia Ukraine war end without a formal peace treaty?"
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Russia-Ukraine war conclude in a negotiated settlement?
80% chance
If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?
43% chance
Will the Ukraine conflict end up in a demilitarized zone (DMZ) [like Korea] by end of 2025?
30% chance
How will the war in Ukraine end?
When will the Ukraine war end?
POLL