Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2040?
Basic
8
αΉ€110
2039
32%
chance

It's hard to defined "normalize" precisely, but would involve peace between the two countries, a lack of territorial claims against each other (or commitments to settle such claims peacefully and amicably), diplomatic and trade relations, and at least a neutral attitude of the populations towards each other.

For reference, I consider relations between Georgia and Russia not to have been normal since 2008. Relations between France and Germany after WWII normalized around the mid-1950ies.

See also:

Get
αΉ€1,000
and
S3.00
Β© Manifold Markets, Inc.β€’Terms + Mana-only Termsβ€’Privacyβ€’Rules