Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2030?
17
35
Ṁ493Ṁ350
2029
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's hard to defined "normalize" precisely, but would involve peace between the two countries, a lack of territorial claims against each other (or commitments to settle such claims peacefully and amicably), diplomatic and trade relations, and at least a neutral attitude of the populations towards each other.
For reference, I consider relations between Georgia and Russia not to have been normal since 2008. Relations between France and Germany after WWII normalized around the mid-1950ies.
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