At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)

Question

Anthropic is reported to be considering an IPO as early as 2026. This market resolves to the market cap of Anthropic at its listing price. There are already many of these markets but most tended to have buckets like $1.3-2.1T and $800B-$1.6 T. Those buckets are sitting upwards of 50%, so I made this market to get better data.

(Note that on the day of the IPO the stock may close at a higher or lower price depending on how the market reacts. But we will use the original listing price for the purposes of this question.)

See also:
- When will Anthropic IPO?
- What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026?
- Anthropic 2026 peak valuation
- Anthropic 2027 peak valuation
- Anthropic 2028 peak valuation

- What will Anthropic's initial share price be?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, < $1.0 trillion, followed by $1.0 – $1.2 trillion and $1.2 – $1.4 trillion are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Jul 24, 2026).

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