Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the bucket containing Anthropic's market capitalization at the official market close (4:00 PM ET) on its first day of regular trading following an Initial Public Offering (IPO) or direct listing on a major stock exchange (e.g., Nasdaq or NYSE).

Brackets are defined as:

• $1.4t or less: Closing market cap is 1,400,000,000,000 or less

• $1.4t to $1.6t: Closing market cap is $1,400,000,000,000.00001 to $1,600,000,000,000

• $1.6t or more: Closing market cap is $1,600,000,000,000.00001 or more

Resolution will be determined using the market cap listed on Google finance or yahoo finance.

If Anthropic is acquired, merges, or withdraws its registration without completing a public debut, the market will resolve N/A.

If no IPO before December 31,2026, resolves N/a.

Background

Anthropic publicly filed its Form S-1 registration statement in late 2026 to list shares under the ticker ANT. Initial public offering price range indications and private funding rounds positioned target debut valuations near the $1.4 trillion mark. Because addAnswersMode is disabled, the three ranges cover the entire continuous outcome space from under $1.4T to over $1.6T.