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MANIFOLD
Anthropic 2028 peak valuation [old buckets]
8
Ṁ1kṀ7.4k
2029
0.1%
<200B
0.1%
200B - 300B
0.1%
300B - 400B
0.1%
400B - 500B
0.1%
500B - 600B
0.1%
600B - 700B
0.1%
700B - 800B
0.1%
800B - 900B
0.1%
900B - 1T
99%
Other

Resolves to a consensus of reliable sources. Secondary market transactions are not used to determine the valuation. Buckets are left-inclusive.

See also:

/Bayesian/anthropic-2028-revenue

/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-in-2025

/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-in-2026

/Bayesian/anthropic-2027-peak-valuation

/Bayesian/anthropic-2028-peak-valuation (this market)

/Bayesian/openai-2028-peak-valuation

/Bayesian/xai-2028-peak-valuation

  • Update 2025-11-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator may remake this market with different ranges and potentially resolve this market to N/A (which would cancel the market and return all mana to traders).

Market context
Anthropic
AI
Technical AI Timelines
2028
Valuation
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Made a related question: What will be the valuation of Anthropic at IPO?

I might remake these markets in a few days with more sensible ranges per answer. Open to suggestions. mb if i N/A these in that case

@Bayesian any plans for this still?

@Siebe yes, so sorry

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