Will the US Navy make a maritime transit of the Taiwan strait by the end of August 2022?
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resolved Aug 28
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This question resolves to YES if a US Navy vessel initiates a maritime transit through the Taiwan strait by August 31, 2022 end of day local time (UTC+8). Aviation transit does not count as YES.
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Here's a version with the deadline extended to September https://manifold.markets/ahalekelly/will-the-us-navy-make-a-maritime-tr-8ec0bdced265
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