Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?
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For the purposes of this question, a serious war is defined as causing at least 1,000 combat-related deaths, as listed here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ongoing_armed_conflicts. For the conflict to qualify, it needs to involve at least two of the major military powers listed in the title, in opposing camps.
"Europe" is either the European Union, or one of the major European militaries (UK, France, Germany). An internal European conflict such as UK-France would also count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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