If Trump wins, will there be wide scale civil disorder in the weeks following the election? | Manifold

If Trump wins, will there be wide scale civil disorder in the weeks following the election?

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If Trump wins, will there be wide scale civic unrest? This would be something like riots with widespread property damage, dozens of injuries, thousands arrested or multiple fatalities. It would have to happen in more than one city.

The judgment will be pretty subjective so I will not bet. If Trump loses this will resolve as N/A.

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Can you give some examples of things you would or wouldn't consider civic unrest? (I'm guessing no civil unrest after 2016 and 2020 elections, yes unrest in the George Floyd riots and jan6 stuff?)

No 2016, 2020 or Jan 6. Yes for the George Floyd, Rodney King or MLK riots. Jan 6 only really happened in Washington, it is a close case but I would say no.

Probably worth knowing before trading - are you a Trump voter?

@BrunoParga No I am not.

@JimAusman We're keeping our fingers crossed for the N/A.

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