If Trump wins, will the U.S. have a civil war by end 2030?
Basic
8
Ṁ9202031
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Are we accelerating? Does the status quo change anything?
Must meet the formal criteria for civil war.
Resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 presidential election.
Compare/ contrast
/Stralor/if-biden-wins-will-the-us-have-a-ci
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
41% chance
If Trump wins, will there be wide scale civil disorder in the weeks following the election?
20% chance
Will Donald Trump become the first dictator of the United States before 2030?
35% chance
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
9% chance
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
20% chance
Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?
22% chance
If Trump wins, will democracy in the USA end?
8% chance
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
58% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
19% chance
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?
51% chance