Will "The Winds of Winter", Book Six of A Song of Fire and Ice, by George R. R. Martin, be released in 2023?
49
Ṁ600Ṁ26kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If "The Winds of Winter" is available for purchase and delivery (i.e. being available for pre-order only does not count) at any time in 2023, this will resolve to true.
Jan 13, 4:53pm: #books #fiction #fantasy
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ127 | |
| 2 | Ṁ66 | |
| 3 | Ṁ30 | |
| 4 | Ṁ28 | |
| 5 | Ṁ17 |
People are also trading
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
When will the Winds of Winter be released?
6/25/32
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?
66% chance
Winds of Winter released before 2027?
3% chance
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
46% chance
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
52% chance
Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?
46% chance
When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
When will the Winds of Winter be released
3/27/29
Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?
40% chance
Sort by:
@jacksonpolack 🤦 Thanks for the heads up! I got those markets mixed up, and I thought I separated them all out but evidently not...
He talks about how he is excited about writing books set in Westeros, but points out that there are like 5 or 6 other things he's interested in besides Winds of Winter. And given that he seems pretty annoyed about discussing WoW, I think he will focus on his other projects. Plus, he doesn't seem to output more than three books a year. So I'd guess that he's probably not going to get the book out next year.
People are also trading
Related questions
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
When will the Winds of Winter be released?
6/25/32
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?
66% chance
Winds of Winter released before 2027?
3% chance
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
46% chance
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
52% chance
Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?
46% chance
When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
When will the Winds of Winter be released
3/27/29
Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?
40% chance