Will Ukrainian troops enter in Moscow in 2022?
54
161Ṁ5471
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

It's not fair that there are/were so many markets about Russians entering Kyiv, but none about Ukrainians entering Moscow. Now there is. See also: https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-putin-be-the-leader-of-russia https://manifold.markets/Nostradamnedus/will-putin-be-overthrown-during-202

Close date updated to 2022-12-31 11:59 pm

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ48
2Ṁ10
3Ṁ9
4Ṁ8
5Ṁ7
Sort by:
Betting on Ukrainian POW being paraded in Moscow.

@Yev can you confirm that, as with the similar Kyiv market, this requires them to enter in a military capacity?

Now we get 20 M$ loaned per market, should help @M
Given odds of troll market or missclick are noticeable AND return is abyssal for markets at 97% or 10% and someone predicting obviously true event AND it is necessary to lock up money for some time there is no incentive to predict that unlikely/certain events like https://manifold.markets/GustavoLacerda/will-russia-invade-kiev-by-end-of-2 or https://manifold.markets/colorednoise/will-a-nuclear-bomb-detonate-in-a-p or https://manifold.markets/AYev/will-ukrainian-troops-enter-in-mosc or https://manifold.markets/ACXBot/will-there-be-a-major-flareup-worse or Events that already happened sitting at 93% (Kiev invasion by Russia) are embarrassing for a prediction market. It is barely profitable that chance for exploding nuclear weapon over populated area is below 4% I opened https://manifold.markets/M/by-20220401-manifold-representative to vent about it.
What about technicalities like friendly visit or entering as prisoners?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules