6. Will there be a major flare-up (worse than past 5 years) in Russia/Ukraine conflict in 2022?
42
100Ṁ28kresolved Mar 21
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
Mar 21, 4:08pm: The Manifold team has decided to resolve this early. (If on the off chance, Scott decides the outcome of this question differently, we will reimburse traders.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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