Will Putin be overthrown during 2022?
4%
chance
This market (Paired Market 1) resolves to "YES" if, two weeks after its close, Vladimir Putin has lost power in Russia. Seems to me a failed war effort and a catering economy could easily lead to either a popular uprising or an elite coup resulting in Putin's overthrow.
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Yev avatar
Yev ✔️
bought Ṁ15 of YES
SymbolProject avatar
Symbol Project
bought Ṁ5 of YES
CalebMoore avatar
BowTrix
bought Ṁ50 of YES
arb
Accountdeletionrequested avatar
Account deletion requested
sold Ṁ84 of YES
I created "Will Lukashenko lose power during 2022?" https://manifold.markets/M/will-lukashenko-lose-power-during-2 (also, I was clearly too optimistic here)
Gabrielle avatar
Gabrielle
bought Ṁ5 of YES
This is the inverse of https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-putin-be-the-leader-of-russia