Will Putin be overthrown during 2022?
15%
chance
Dec 31
M$11,387 bet
This market (Paired Market 1) resolves to "YES" if, two weeks after its close, Vladimir Putin has lost power in Russia. Seems to me a failed war effort and a catering economy could easily lead to either a popular uprising or an elite coup resulting in Putin's overthrow.
CalebMoore

BowTrix bought M$50 of YES2 months ago

arb
M

M sold M$84 of YES2 months ago

I created "Will Lukashenko lose power during 2022?" https://manifold.markets/M/will-lukashenko-lose-power-during-2 (also, I was clearly too optimistic here)