Will Russia invade Kiev by end of 2022?
83
185Ṁ10kresolved Jan 23
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Close date updated to 2022-12-31 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ331 | |
| 2 | Ṁ129 | |
| 3 | Ṁ94 | |
| 4 | Ṁ91 | |
| 5 | Ṁ86 |
People are also trading
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2028?
4% chance
Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030?
19% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
1% chance
Sort by:
Are we using Metaculus's definition of an invasion (100+ troops cross the border into Kiev)? See: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9459/russian-troops-in-kiev-in-2022/
Arbitrage with https://manifold.markets/alexlyzhov/conditional-on-ukraine-being-invade
I would bet more, but I don't want to lock up my money for almost a year.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2028?
4% chance
Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030?
19% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
1% chance